Carnival Pass in Build A Ring Farm: the crate odds the game prints itself, and the tier count it contradicts

Most odds tables on the web are a wiki cell repeated between copied sites. This one is not: the same five percentages appear on the human-edited wiki page AND on the game's own Carnival Crate wheel, captured at 40 seconds in a recording that has no burned-in captions. Where the two agree, the game panel is the primary and the wiki is the echo — so every cell below carries the label observed rather than single-editor.

• The odds cell and the payout are graded separately. Two of these five payouts are observed on a panel and two are narration-only, which is why the table has a payout column and not one confidence badge per row.
• Normal Pet Treat, Fertilizer Crate and Spray Crate are named by the wheel and recorded nowhere in this repository, so this page can say what a spin pays without being able to price it.
• The Spray Crate row stops at '25% of spins pay a Spray Crate'. The Carnival Spray's own rate inside that crate, and the multiplier dispute, belong to the Carnival Spray page; multiplying 25% by that rate would invent an expected cost no source states.
• The 54-spin session behind this table is not an odds test. It produced one Carnival Seed Pack against a 2.4% expectation and zero Carnival Packs against 0.1%, which at that sample size discriminates between nothing — so no observed-frequency column appears here.

What a spin costs, in both currencies

Prize Tickets per Carnival Crate spin

100 Prize Tickets Observed on panel

Three carriers print this one number: the wiki sentence, the wheel's own Spin: 100 button, and a narrator doing arithmetic out loud against the counter the frame already shows. Only the first two are independent.

Crate purchase option	Robux	Crates
79 R$ — Buy 1	79 R$	1
199 R$ — Buy 3	199 R$	3

The wiki page prices nothing in Robux despite saying tickets are bought with Robux. These two cells are one panel reading from one session, published as a reading and not as a price list.

Arithmetic check on those two cells, printed so you can verify it: 79 × 3 = 237 against the 3-crate bundle at 199. The bundle is cheaper. That is arithmetic on two observed buttons, it feeds no calculator and no ranking, and no wiki revision states a price like it.

Resolution: No resolution attempted. The likeliest reading — that the wiki transcribed the front of a longer panel, or that 'tier' and 'level' name different things in the game's own UI — is an inference, and the on-screen pairing of Tier 4 with Lv 40 is exactly the ambiguity an inference cannot settle. The 15 rows below are published as the wiki's front-of-pass transcription and cells 36 to 40 as what a recording shows.

The same 300/600 pair is what a narration says at 3:02, with the tracks swapped — 600 then 300 — against a panel that puts 300 on the free row and 600 on the premium row.

• Play the Whack A Crop event Single editor

  NAMED GAP, NOT PAPERED OVER. The wiki's first two sentences both name this event as the ticket source. It has no wiki page, no record in this site's event, update, gear or seed datasets, and no sampled video ever says the name. One channel shows the gameplay twice — crops coming up out of the ground, tickets as the reward — without naming it, and its automatic caption track garbles the mention into 'Why I get crop interactive event'. So the route exists as one editor's phrase plus unnamed gameplay.

  Cited by: wiki intro: 'added in Update 5 along with the Carnival Pass and Whack A Crop event' · wiki Obtainment: 'play [[Events|Whack A Crop]]'

• Claim Carnival Pass reward cells Observed on panel

  The best-sourced route: a panel prints the currency, a counter prints a balance of 5,425, and the wiki names the path. What no source prints is the XP cost of reaching a cell.

  Cited by: wiki Obtainment: 'earn them through the Carnival Pass' · the 15-row ladder's ticket cells · panel at 10s in 22ZZkFUWI0o (300 free / 600 premium at cell 36) · counter reading 5,425 at 0s and 40s in bwC3eQF7ssA

• Buy them with Robux Observed on panel

  The wiki says tickets are bought with Robux. The only Robux prices anyone has captured are for crates, not tickets, and no source states a ticket-for-Robux exchange at all. Those are two different transactions and this page does not merge them.

  Cited by: wiki Obtainment: 'buy them with robux' · crate panel at 40s in bwC3eQF7ssA: 79 R$ for 1 crate, 199 R$ for 3

• Admin Abuse / Admin Weather event Unverified

  A fourth route the wiki page does not carry at all: one channel says it twice, 'they'll give you carnival passes' and 'another method is admin abuse. It happens two to three times each week'. No ticket counter is shown changing and no amount is stated, so it is recorded as a claim and given no row of its own.

  Cited by: K5KAcsH1Zcw narration at 3:01-3:32 ('they'll give you carnival passes') and 10:44-11:14 ('another method is admin abuse. It happens two to three times each week')

• Redeem the code CARNIVAL Dataset record

  The only ticket source this site already holds as canonical data: the code CARNIVAL pays 100 Carnival Prize Tickets, which is exactly one crate spin at the observed cost. Worth printing as arithmetic, and nothing more.

  Cited by: codes.ts and updates.ts update-5: reward string '100 Carnival Prize Tickets'

This page is a spoke of the Carnival material and not a second event hub. The event framing belongs to Carnival the events hub and to the update record, which dates Carnival only to Early June 2026 and keeps its release day null. The spray the crate cell leads to belongs to the Carnival Spray guide.

The wiki page behind all of this is 6,802 bytes with two saved revisions eight minutes apart, both by one account, Mxvntain. Two revisions is not two sources — it is one manuscript. And it is thinner than that: the page it says it copied from had been deleted 57 seconds earlier by that same account, and had only ever held a 65 × 56 pixel item icon and one wikilink. Every number on the page was typed from an unstated source inside eight minutes.

What rescues the crate table is not the wiki. It is the game's own wheel printing the same five percentages. Where a panel corroborates a cell, this page publishes it as observed; where the page speaks about the pass itself and nothing second backs it, the tier-count contradiction above is what you get.

• Whack A Crop — event

  Unverified

  Cited by the wiki as the ticket source, and confirmed here as a named gap: zero dataset records, zero wiki page, and the name is spoken by no channel sampled. Unnamed gameplay of exactly that shape exists in one video at 2:01 and 10:14.

  On camera: Unnamed gameplay in one 690-second video at 2:01 and 10:14; the name is spoken by no channel sampled, and its automatic caption track garbles the mention into 'Why I get crop interactive event'.

• Carnival Fertilizer — fertilizer

  Unverified

  Real on screen twice — a premium reward at cells 37 and 39, and a hotbar stack of three — and it has no boost value, no price and no record anywhere in this repository. The gear dataset carries Normal, Strong and Super Fertilizer only.

  On camera: On camera twice: a premium reward at cells 37 and 39, and a hotbar stack of three at 0:00 and 0:40.

• Prismatic Fertilizer — fertilizer

  Unverified

  A premium reward at cell 38, and the Prismatic banner on every card in the spray crate opening. The Guild Shop evidence already lists Prismatic Fertilizer as an item with no record, so this gap is known from a second page.

  On camera: A premium reward at cell 38, and the Prismatic banner on every card in the spray crate opening at 3:36.

• Carnival Pack — crate

  Unverified

  Named on the wheel at 0.1% and never opened on camera in any sampled recording. The rarest crate outcome is the only one whose contents no source states.

  On camera: Named on the wheel at 0:1% of spins at 0:40; never opened on camera in any sampled recording.

• The five Carnival plants — plants

  Unverified

  Popcorn Poppy, Cotton Candy Cactus, Funnel Cake Fern, Jackpot Jackfruit and Carousel Crownflower are planted, priced and raritied on camera, and none of them is in the seed dataset. Importing them is a dataset decision with a reviewed revision diff, not a page decision, so the narrated unit values stay in the evidence note and become no field here.

  On camera: Planted and priced on camera in one pass video, with rarities narrated as Legendary, Divine and unlabelled.

• Fertilizer Crate and Spray Crate — crates

  Unverified

  Two of the five crate outcomes are themselves unrecorded items, so this page can name what a spin pays without being able to price what it pays.

  On camera: Both are crate outcomes at 25% each and both open on camera in the 54-spin session.

The entities that do have records are joined, not restated: Carnival Spray · Carnival · Carnival Egg — each on its own page, with its own numbers. This page borrows their names and none of their figures.

• At 1:01-1:31Channel: JuniorGummy · bwC3eQF7ssA

  “And in these crates you're able to get the Carbonell fertilizer, prismatic fertilizer, super fertilizer, strong fertilizer, normal fertilizer. That's basically what these crates do. And in the spray crate, the exact same thing, the Carbonell spray, cosmic spray, radioactive spray, void spray, autumn spray.”

  What it supports: What the two 25% crate outcomes contain. Caption fidelity: the automatic track renders 'Carnival' as 'Carbonell' throughout this video, preserved verbatim rather than tidied.

• At 0:31-1:01Channel: JuniorGummy · bwC3eQF7ssA

  “we have a total of 5,400 Carbonell tickets, which in order to spin you will need 100 tickets. So we have 5,400, which means we're able to spin this a total of times of 54 times. Which our main goal of this video is going to be trying to get the grand prize, the Carbonell pack, which is a 0.1% chance of it getting.”

  What it supports: The 100-ticket spin cost and the 0.1% grand-prize cell.

• At 0:31-1:03Channel: JuniorGummy · 22ZZkFUWI0o

  “You're able to get the Carousel Clown Flower, 0.1% chance, the rarest thing you're able to get, the Jackpot Jackfruit, 2.4%, the Funnel Cake Fern, 25% chance, the Cotton Candy Cactus, 25% chance, and the Popcorn Poppy, 47.5% chance of getting.”

  What it supports: The nested seed-pack ladder, including the one cell the evidence pass graded from narration. The caption track renders Carousel Crownflower as 'Carousel Clown Flower'.

• At 2:03-2:35Channel: @RobloxGuidesTips · kvLk9j_J-L4

  “The free track alone gives multiple ticket rewards, including bundles of 50, 80, 100, 120, and 125 tickets across different tiers.”

  What it supports: The wiki's free-column ticket cells exactly: 50 at tier 10, 80 at 8, 100 at 3 and 12, 120 at 5, 125 at 14. Graded non-independent — this channel reads community data aloud, and it has failed this site's image gate on five prior measurements.

• At 0:00-0:32Channel: @RobloxGuidesTips · kvLk9j_J-L4

  “The Carnival Pass is a limited-time progression system added on June 6th, 2026 together with the Carnival update.”

  What it supports: Nothing this page publishes. The update record keeps a null release date with an explicit unconfirmed claim that no source states the day, so this ships as a refused candidate.

• At 2:01-2:31Channel: MistyLemon · K5KAcsH1Zcw

  “One is the new event going on each hour ... they'll come to this event where you have to whack crops. And if you whack enough crops, you will get some good passes and also some good rewards.”

  What it supports: That hourly whack-a-crop gameplay exists and pays tickets. It does not support the event's name: this channel never says 'Whack A Crop'.

• At 1:01Channel: MistyLemon · K5KAcsH1Zcw

  “Oh, actually, that was super good. 2.5% chance and I got that. That's kind of nuts, you know.”

  What it supports: A dissenting reading of the 2.4% cell. It ships as a labelled dissent only, because substituting it makes the pool total 100.1%.

1. 01

   Open the pass from the menu rail

   The CARNIVAL PASS button sits in the left rail above the cash total, and the ticket counter prints beside it. That counter is the only balance the game shows for this currency, and the establishing frame below is what the screen looks like.

   On camera at 0:00

2. 02

   Claim ticket cells before you spend anything

   Pass cells pay Prize Tickets directly, on both tracks. The wiki's front-of-pass ladder hands out 50, 80, 100, 120 and 125 on the free track and 100, 120, 200 and 250 on the premium track, while a cell further along the panel pays 300 free and 600 premium — which is the contradiction this page refuses to resolve.

   On camera at 0:10

3. 03

   Read the crate's odds off the wheel, not off a screenshot

   Inside the Crate tab, the odds button and the five percentage cells are on screen at the same time as the Spin cost. Every cell in the table above came from that screen, and you can check the same panel in your own game.

   On camera at 0:40

4. 04

   Stop short of an expected cost

   A 0.1% cell and a 100-ticket spin do not make a Carnival Pack cost 1,000 tickets in any source-stated sense, and a 25% Spray Crate cell does not multiply with the spray's own rate. Both calculations are tempting, neither is documented, and this page publishes neither.

No step here costs XP, because no source states what a tier costs; and no step tells you what to buy, because nothing in this evidence supports a recommendation.